Wednesday, January 2, 2019

1st Quarter 2019 Subpoenas Delivered

1st Quarter 2019

 Marijuana stocks hit there lows this December
Aurora Cannabis ($5 now) looks to bounce back after earnings
100% to around $13/sh.
Added Alkaine Water as a blow out (?? 50% return)


Locking in on Communications T (AT&T), chinese NFEC,
brazil CIG & CIG.C and Blackrock funds.
Not looking good for extreme cold weather
so natural gas UNL & UNG will stay down 15% even
after December 2018 collapse.
Sold losing names and accumulated dividend leaders.
Most stocks down 18% during December rout.


Hold close to cash reserves 50%.
Dow 21,000 on target as
slowdown in China picks up steam.


Closer than ever to Washington DC as Investigations
lead to resignations and controversy.

Wednesday, October 31, 2018

4th Quarter 2018: Storm front moves in

4th Quarter 2018
Busy times sorry for the 4 month delay, so here goes

 Marijuana stocks were a hit this late summer,
my picks were Tilray ($270  high; I got geedy)
Aurora Cannabis ($13 high). They're at lows presently
which makes for accumulation trades.
(Canada legalized Oct 17 for some provinces)

Dividend achievers are down as yields have risen.
Sold some names during the summer months.

  Oil down at $66; UnEmployment down 3.9%, Inflation up 2.1%
Feds are waffling on the target of 2% inflation again, but have
indicated quarterly increases (3 this year) .
On a yearly basis wages were up 3.1%, as more people leave the
work force.

Hold close to cash reserves 30%.
Jun - Oct  Dow DIA Yield up 1.9%  S&P 500 down 0.83%

however the October massacre was
Dow DIA Yield down 5.7%  S&P 500 down 7.2%

Oil production up year over year 11.2M
Energy stocks NRT, chinese NFEC, brazil CIG & CIG.C
natural gas UNL & UNG

Closer than ever to Washington DC as Midterms shows surprises.

Wednesday, May 16, 2018

2nd Quarter 2018: Calm Before the Storm

2nd Quarter 2018
 Dividend achievers are the top pick for the quarter
  Oil at $70; UnEmployment 3.9%, Inflation 1.9%
Feds are waffling on the target of 2% inflation,
bond prices have fallen and yields are up.

Holding close to cash reserves.
Jan - May Dow DIA Yield 0.20%  S&P 500 0.10%
Oil production records continue, riding NRT

Closer than ever to Washington DC fiasco.

Tuesday, March 6, 2018

The Markets are on Edge

Political Upheaval on Capitol Hill.

    As we head into uncertainty over the Executive Branch (North Korea and Russia provocations of military might), the markets are preparing for a volatile
month of trading.

 Beware of the Ides of March

Salvage your holdings, go to cash up to 55% or more if possible.


Cash/Bonds is King.

Friday, February 2, 2018

1st Qtr 2018 and Notice of Intent

1st Quarter 2018
  Dividend achievers are the top pick for the quarter
  Oil at $55; UnEmployment 4.2%, Inflation 1.7%
Feds are in great control to inch up the rates
Techs are changing the workforce even further.

Russia and Past transgressions will start

the impeachment process.
Markets have stability as this was expected.

***** February 2, 2018 UPDATE****** Russell 2000 Dn 2.0

6% S&P 500 Dn 2.12% Nasd Dn 1.96%
  Pay and wage increases and Memo prompts market downturn
  30 year Treasury Bond Index up 3%
  Oil production records continue
New lows outpacing New highs for the week
Government shutdown and resignations very likley

{Deutsche Bank's chief strategist, Binky Chadha

  notes that crude-oil prices are up nearly 60%
  over the past seven months, the S&P 500 index
  has climbed by about 32% since around November 2016,
  while the Dow Jones Industrial Average is up more than 43%.
  The dollar, as measured by the ICE U.S. Dollar Index ,
  is down 9% over the past 13 months,
  and the 10-year note yield is up about 76 basis points
  over the past five months.}

4th Qtr 2017

4th Quarter 2017
What a backwards 3 months of Investing.
Hurricanes hit the Gulf and East coast - Oil prices rise less than 15%
North Korea fires missiles over Japan and near Guam - World markets move less than 2.5%
No Healthcare Reform/Repeal - Health stocks move south and stabilize
No Tax reform - yields are trending down
No Inflation - FEDs increase rates once, why?

Staying on course with the Dividend Achievers
Top Ten Stocks up 9 ( 3 less than 4% ; 2 more than 4% ; 1 more than 10% ; 3 more than 20%)
             down 1 ( 1 less than 1%)

Dividend yields from 2.2% - 18.2%

Continue the trend, stay on the look out for more household debt and a rising VIX.

3rd Qtr 2017

3rd Quarter 2017
Sell Equities
Fed rates increases stalling housing sector
(low inflation, immigration policies, divergent economics)
High multiples on level revenues; Market pull-back 10%
Bonds increasing in value, Oil finally heading south ($30s)

http://stockcharts.com/h-sc/ui?s=$USHL5&p=D&yr=8&mn=0&dy=0&id=p27747499092
https://www.barchart.com/stocks/highs-lows/summary